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Energy Storage for Automotive Propulsion - Part I
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W. F. Howard, Ph.D.
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| Howard
Consulting, Addison, Texas |
Abstract
In this world of $2.30+/gallon gasoline (1.20/liter
in Europe, ¥130/liter in Japan), electric-powered
vehicles are not unusual, they are in demand.
Countries have differing needs and cultures that
dictate common modes of transportation. This paper
will explore the energy storage technology and
demography of vehicles that derive their propulsion
from batteries (including supercapacitors). The
future of the EV/HEV battery industry from both
the business and technological perspectives will
be examined, including emerging markets and possible
chemistries.
Introduction
Electric vehicles are not new. In fact, they
pre-date Henry Fords first internal combustion
car by nearly 60 years, to 1834. But cheap Texas
crude was discovered in the early 1900s, and internal
combustion (IC) vehicles became grandfathered
into society. Today, politics and public consumption
have caused fuel prices to escalate, and global
consumers are demanding alternative energy sources
for their beloved automobiles. The automotive
industry has responded by initiating development
into several areas: more efficient IC engines,
electric vehicles, hybrid electric vehicles, fuel
cells, and niche technologies such as solar power
and flywheels.
This essay will focus on stored energy (batteries,
supercaps) rather than generated power (IC engines,
fuel cells) and how such technology is inserting
itself into public and, to a lesser extent, military
transportation. The expectation for HEVs is concentrated
in three areas: by 2013, sales are estimated at
2 million in the U.S., 660,000 in Japan, and 300,000
in Europe, while EV sales will be mostly in Europe
(up to 100,000). There are several sub-areas to
investigate: EV versus HEV, pros and cons of different
storage systems, demographic demands, next-generation
chemistry and engineering, and, of course, cost.
Be assured that one size will not fit all.
Hybrids Versus Pure EVs
A decade ago, USABC was all about electric vehicles,
California was mandating zero emission vehicles
(ZEV), and Li-ion batteries were still the new
kids on the block. But gasoline prices more than
doubled in those 10 years, and reality struck
the EV supporters: rechargeable batteries could
not provide the range that most drivers demand.
USABC morphed into the Freedom Car program, while
hybrid vehicles became the new hot item of the
automotive industry, environmentalists, and high-tech
consumers.
North Americans (and Australians) love their wide-open
spaces and the cars they drive to get them there.
Mr. and Ms. Consumer want vehicles with 300-400
mile (500-650 kilometer) driving ranges. Yes,
there are many Mr. and Ms. Commuters who need
only 100 miles (160km) of available electrons,
but is there an electrical outlet available in
your work or mall parking area? The infrastructure
for EV recharging is woefully weak away from home:
even in Pacific Rim countries and Europe, areas
attuned to EVs, its generally localized
to a few trial cities.
Stated another way, batteries for EVs require
high energy, long discharge life, and readily
available electrical outlets. Typical EV usage
is two to four hours daily at moderate speeds
with night-time battery recharges. This pattern
suggests slow traffic in high population density
areas (Europe, Japan, Korea, U.S. East and West
Coasts), but is also reflective of service vehicles
(local delivery, forklifts, golf carts). Further,
EVs must be light: it takes a lot of energy to
operate a two-ton van, which limits battery working
time.
These constraints, however, permit a generic EV
description in its optimum environment. For consumers,
a two-passenger auto for 125 mile (200 km) round
trips, with few amenities (remember, power accessories,
air conditioning, entertainment, etc., all use
energy). For commercial and military entities,
small vehicles carrying a moderate load (say up
to 1 ton) that return periodically to a central
maintenance location. Niche markets, to be sure,
but substantial niche markets. In fact, service
EVs will probably always outnumber EVs for personal
use.
Hybrid vehicles are the middle ground between
draconian ZEV regulations and the real world of
superhighway traffic, an uncomfortable combination
of high speeds and stop-and-go driving. Batteries
get the HEV moving and provide a power boost when
the auto accelerates, but the heavy propulsion
work is accomplished by an efficient IC engine.
Further, the battery recharges while the engine
is running the car, so theres no need for
electrical outlets at every parking spot. This
HEV scenario is far more practical than pure EV
applications, and requires a smaller, less expensive
battery. As a bonus, fuel usage and emissions
are lowered dramatically relative to IC vehicles.
What are the attributes of an HEV? A year ago,
I would have suggested that most HEVs will be
small-to-medium-sized sedans, but there are now
several successful hybrid SUVs on the market.
Thus, passenger vehicle size does not appear to
be a constraint. Clearly, power capability is
a must: these vehicles are expected to behave
much like IC cars, with substantial acceleration
available on demand. And HEVs have a driving range
up to 400 miles (650 km), which is competitive
with IC autos. Finally, HEVs have low operating
costs: only the OPEC nations lack incentive to
adopt this technology.
And the eventual winner will be (no surprise!)
hybrids over EVs, and in high population density,
industrialized areas, IC cars. While zero emissions
is an admirable goal, the inconveniences of EVs
overshadow their environmental attributes. Hybrids
meet the desires of more drivers than EVs ever
will, and as the HEV market expands, it will become
increasingly competitive with IC-powered vehicles.
Heightened production portends lower prices, another
powerful selling point.
Table 1, below, is derived from
a 2004 report by Mathey and Van Autenboer, and
compares EV and HEV battery production data and
estimates. Note the projected 45% reduction in
energy and power costs, but more striking is the
predicted scarcity of EVs versus HEVs in 2012.
Also, these figures omit todays infant markets
in China and India, representing nearly 2.5 billion
people that are striving for the same technological
levels as fully industrialized countries.
Another niche market is two- and three-wheeled
EVs, variously called electric bikes, mopeds,
e-scooters, and electric motorcycles. These devices
are most popular in Asia and Europe, although
bikes with two-stroke gasoline engines are the
bigger sellers, due to more affordable pricing.
This EV segment is dominated by lead-acid and
NiMH batteries, typically 42-48V units producing
up to 360Wh of power. ITRI/Taiwan energy and power
specifications for Li-ion bike batteries are 65Wh/kg
and 1kW/kg, respectively. Only a few Li-ion battery-powered
motorcycles have entered the market, although
these are high-end EVs priced two to five times
greater than their smaller brethren. Taiwan manufactures
about 400,000 e-bikes per year, Japan about 200,000,
a number roughly matched by combined sales in
Italy and the Netherlands. World production is
less than 10% of the 8.5 million IC motorbikes
sold annually. Equal-performing motorbikes are
always cheaper if gasoline-powered, thus insuring
that e-bikes will remain in the minority for at
least the next several years.
Todays Technologies
This section is a comparison of rechargeable
energy storage devices with various chemistries.
Although flywheels, fuel cells, zinc-air, molten
salt, and a handful of other battery types generally
fit the title category, only those technologies
with significant current or predicted market impact
are considered here. Table 2 exhibits pros and
cons of commercial EV/HEV energy storage hardware
from the perspectives of the OEM and the consumer.
Table 2 permits an evaluation of the future
of these various energy storage units. For example,
consumers are notoriously lax on maintenance,
which bodes ill for PbH+ and NiMH battery growth.
In fact, a 2005 industry report by Saxman &
Colson-Inam predicts that Li-ion batteries will
outsell automotive NiMH cells within three years,
with a total market of ~$300 million, even though
NiMH is todays dominant technology. NiMH
cells are widely viewed as near the pinnacle of
their performance, with little room for advancement,
and they are intolerant of overcharge and high
temperature. Ovonics, however, holder of many
patents in the field, claims on-going development
of units with up to 20% improvements in power
and energy.
And what about lead-acid batteries? The advances
with thin-film PbH+ cells are impressive, but
low energy and cycle life performances are not
persuading car manufacturers. Further, auto companies
look for minimal weight in auto components, not
the strong point of either PbH+ or NiMH batteries.
Firefly Energys recent invention of a light-weight,
high-power foamed graphite/PbH+ cell, however,
may change the way the auto industry perceives
Pb technology. Details are presented in the next
section.
Although not included in Table 2,
Zebra batteries are viable in heavy vehicles with
relatively short ranges, such as buses or local
delivery vans. Producing up to 120Wh/kg, these
units feature Na/NiCl2 chemistry and operate at
270-350°C. Heavy insulation and safety concerns
preclude their application in passenger cars.
Lyons, France, initiated an experimental program
with Zebra-powered buses in November 2004.
Supercapacitors (also called ultracapacitors)
are loosely defined as short-term power storage
hardware, where static electricity is stored on
electrode plates. These plates are most commonly
high surface area carbon separated by an organic
electrolyte (aqueous electrolytes limit supercaps
to 1V), and can be charged and discharged very
rapidly. Self-discharge is very high, capacity
is relatively low (Power Systems claims up to
6.3Wh/kg), voltage decreases linearly with discharge,
and operating temperatures as low as 40°C
shorten the lifespan. As pointed out in a 2004
Frost & Sullivan report, the specialty electrode
carbon is unique to the capacitor industry, with
few suppliers and high prices. Carbon accounts
for as much as two-thirds of the supercap cost,
and the device is three to five times as expensive
as a battery system. These traits dictate that
supercaps will not be the primary energy source
in EV/HEVs but are well suited for power assist
(up to 5kW/kg) and regenerative braking. Supercaps
are seen as battery adjuncts for HEVs or high
efficiency IC autos.
Li-ion and Li-polymer batteries may contain any
of several different electrode materials, hence
the relatively wide range of electrochemical properties.
Also, this field is undergoing rapid advances
in stability, rate capability, and longevity.
Table 3 describes the various chemistries and
performance of lithium rechargeables that are
at least in advanced development. By focusing
on high power versus high energy units, a clearer
picture of preferred usage emerges.
This technical article will be continued in
the May and June 2006 editions of ABT.
[W.F. (Rick) Howard has more than 15 years experience
in battery materials R&D, and consults for
the battery, chemistry and nanotechnology industries.
He may be contacted at rikhoward@aol.com.]
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